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Market Analysis

Stocks Decline, Yields Rise as Outlook for Rate Cut Diminishes
Amos Simanungkalit · 23.9K Views

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The three major U.S. stock indexes experienced a decline of approximately 1% on Tuesday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasuries reached a four-month high. This movement followed the release of data indicating robust labor demand, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve might postpone interest rate cuts.


In tandem, the dollar surged to a four-month peak against major currencies initially, but later receded amid concerns over potential intervention by Japanese authorities, particularly regarding the dollar's gains against the yen.


Bitcoin also saw a decline, dropping by 7.5% at one point, amidst broader market apprehensions that anticipated rate cuts might be delayed. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six counterparts, decreased by 0.21%. Concurrently, gold prices surged to new highs.


According to the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. job openings increased marginally to 8.756 million by the end of February, with January's figures revised downward to 8.748 million unfilled positions. Russell Price, chief economist at Ameriprise Financial, remarked that recent economic indicators, including the JOLTS report, reflect a robust economy, suggesting a potential delay in Federal Reserve interest rate adjustments.


Global stock markets, as represented by MSCI's index, closed down by 0.49%, while on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 1%, 0.72%, and 0.95% respectively.


Tesla shares also experienced a decline of 4.9% after quarterly deliveries fell for the first time in nearly four years, missing Wall Street estimates.


In Europe, the STOXX 600 index closed down by 0.80% at a one-week low following speculation about impending interest rate cuts, which had previously enticed investors towards risky assets.


Treasury yields surged on Monday after positive manufacturing data and higher consumer spending figures for January. Phillip Colmar, global strategist at MRB Partners, noted that the improved economic outlook has tempered expectations for rate cuts.


Longer-duration Treasury yields reached multi-month highs, with the benchmark 10-year note's yield hitting 4.405%, its strongest level since November. Meanwhile, the euro zone witnessed a contraction in manufacturing activity in March, with German inflation easing.


Amid growing tensions in the Middle East, gold prices soared to a new record high as traders sought the safe haven asset. Spot gold hit an all-time high of $2,276.89 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures settled 1.1% higher at $2,281.8.

 

 


Paraphrasing text from "Investing" all rights reserved by the original author.

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